Planning reference, not a live quote: ranges on this page are modeled from public benchmarks and regional assumptions. Confirm the dated local offer, freight, application, delivery window, payment terms, and expiration before acting.
North Dakota is the nation's top spring wheat, sunflower, and canola producer, with the Red River Valley and Missouri Coteau supporting intensive small grain and oilseed production. Potash (MOP) has a modeled planning range of $353–$433/ton in North Dakota markets as a 2026 planning reference, reflecting Great Plains supply chain conditions.
| Benchmark | Price | vs. 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| NOLA barge (national reference) | $310–$380/ton | +15–25% |
| North Dakota co-op / distributor | $353–$433/ton | +29–39% |
| North Dakota retail delivered | $363–$445/ton | +31–41% |
Use this range to prepare questions, not to make a purchase decision. Confirm the dated source evidence and the actual local delivered quote before acting.
North Dakota depends heavily on Burlington Northern Santa Fe rail from Pacific Northwest terminals and Canadian potash; distance and logistics add 10–16% over NOLA benchmarks.
| Driver | Impact |
|---|---|
| Canadian supply expansion | Nutrien and Mosaic expanded Saskatchewan capacity, providing global buffer supply and limiting price upside. |
| Belarus sanctions impact | Belarusian potash remains under Western sanctions; Canadian and Russian supply has partially filled the gap. |
| Brazil demand cycle | Brazil's soy crop drives global potash demand; their buying cycle in Q3-Q4 affects U.S. pricing. |
| Currency effects | CAD/USD movements affect competitiveness of Canadian potash imports. |
North Dakota farmers typically source Potash (MOP) through regional co-operatives, independent retailers, and direct distributor contracts. Compare the complete written terms of each local offer; freight, application, financing, storage, delivery window, and quote expiration can matter as much as the headline price.
The modeled planning range for Potash (MOP) in North Dakota is approximately $353–$433/ton. It is not a live local quote. Confirm the supplier, product, freight, application, delivery, payment, and expiration terms.
North Dakota sits in the Great Plains supply zone. North Dakota depends heavily on Burlington Northern Santa Fe rail from Pacific Northwest terminals and Canadian potash. Premiums over NOLA benchmarks typically run 14–22% depending on season and logistics conditions.
Seasonal programs can change freight, financing, storage, application, and delivery terms. Compare the complete written offer and decision window; GrainBrief organizes dated evidence but does not tell a buyer exactly when to act.
GrainBrief puts dated public benchmarks beside the local quote details you enter so you can compare terms with clearer context.
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